Live Stream for Yankees vs Rays Game – Monday, October 5, 2026

New York Yankees

@

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-165/+130)
  Compared to the average starter, Cam Schlittler has been granted an above-average leash this year, tallying an extra 4.6 adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen grades out as the 6th-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  With 8 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Freddy Peralta has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Chandler Simpson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  Chandler Simpson is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of New York (#1-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+145)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 44% ROI)