
Toronto Blue Jays
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Cleveland Guardians
-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- José Soriano – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)Jose Soriano’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (48.6% compared to 42.5% last year) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Kazuma Okamoto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineThe Toronto Blue Jays bullpen profiles as the 4th-best in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Tanner Bibee’s 2156-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 21st percentile out of all SPs.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Chase DeLauter – Over/Under Total BasesChase DeLauter has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 95.5-mph in the past two weeks.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Jose Ramirez – Over/Under Total BasesJose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
