
Houston Astros
@

New York Yankees
+120O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-140
(-120/+100)-140
Houston Astros Insights
- Peter Lambert – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)In his last start, Peter Lambert turned in a great performance and posted 8 strikeouts.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Christian Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+150/-195)Christian Walker has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (+120)The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Houston Astros.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
New York Yankees Insights
- New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) MoneylineElmer Rodriguez is an extreme groundball pitcher (49.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #3 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- José Caballero – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+270/-380)Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 86.1-mph EV last year has decreased to 83.8-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The 9.7% Barrel% of the New York Yankees makes them the #1 team in Major League Baseball this year by this stat.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- New York Yankees – Over/Under Team TotalThe New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Houston Astros – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+120/-150)Jazz Chisholm Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 102% ROI)
