How to Watch the Cubs vs Mariners Game - Saturday August 22, 2026

+100O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-120

Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
David Peterson is an extreme groundball pitcher (50% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in T-Mobile Park — the #8 HR venue in the league — in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
Despite posting a .393 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has experienced some positive variance given the .055 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.
Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+100)
The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Kade Anderson – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kade Anderson in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Taylor Ward is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
The Seattle Mariners bullpen projects as the 9th-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Run Line +1.0 (-150)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+120/-155)
Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 38% ROI)

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