Toronto Blue Jays
@
New York Yankees
-110O/U: 7
(+100/-120)-110
(+100/-120)-110
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Dylan Cease – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)Dylan Cease has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 10.8 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average hurler.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Ernie Clement – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-210/+160)Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 84.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 81-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen projects as the 5th-best out of all teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
New York Yankees Insights
- Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Ryan Weathers will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Amed Rosario – Over/Under Total BasesAmed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.