
St. Louis Cardinals
@

Cincinnati Reds
-120O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+100
(-110/-110)+100
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Michael McGreevy is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Bryan Torres – Over/Under HitsBryan Torres is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cincinnati (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- The St. Louis Cardinals (19.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone batting order of all teams on the slate today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Brady Singer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Brady Singer’s sinker percentage has risen by 7.9% from last year to this one (40.8% to 48.7%) .Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Tyler Stephenson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Cincinnati Reds – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in the league.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
