Learn How to Watch the Mariners vs Yankees Game – August 12, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryce Miller – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Bryce Miller’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (50.2% compared to 42.5% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of the day).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under Total Bases
  Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-130)
  Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under Total Bases
  In the last two weeks, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Jones, Ryan McMahon, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+14.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.30 Units / 34% ROI)