Learn How to Watch the Mariners vs Yankees Game – August 12, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryce Miller – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Bryce Miller’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (50.2% compared to 42.5% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of the day).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-135)
  Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Spencer Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Spencer Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The New York Yankees (25.7% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams on the slate.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+14.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150/+120)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+155/-200)
  Trent Grisham has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)