Watch the Tigers vs Mariners Game Highlights - August 4th, 2026

+120O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-140

Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
Dillon Dingler has been lucky this year, notching a .362 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .041 discrepancy.
Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Detroit’s 16.8° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball this year: #1 overall.
Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Emerson Hancock – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
Emerson Hancock’s change-up rate has decreased by 15.3% from last season to this one (20.2% to 4.9%) .
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
Cal Raleigh has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Seattle Mariners jointly rank 21st- overall in MLB this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.
Explain: If a player can hit the ball hard even once, it has great predictive power over his ability to do it again. If he’s never hit the ball hard, it’s a sign of a lack of power.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (+120)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+170/-225)
Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 61% ROI)

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