Follow the Live Updates for White Sox vs Rays – 8/1/2026

Chicago White Sox

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Tampa Bay Rays

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+150)
  Jordan Hicks’s 96.6-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 95th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under Total Bases
  Andrew Benintendi has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 79-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under Total Bases
  Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-195)
  Drew Rasmussen is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Tropicana Field — the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums — today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under Total Bases
  Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jordan Hicks.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Tampa Bay Rays offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.