Live Stream for D-Backs vs Guardians Game – Friday, July 31, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Cleveland Guardians

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+115)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Adrian Del Castillo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
  Adrian Del Castillo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+115)
  Tanner Bibee has averaged 91.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Steven Kwan may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  The Cleveland Guardians bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)
  Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)