Follow Live Updates on Rays vs Blue Jays – Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

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Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Ian Seymour – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  With 8 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Ian Seymour will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Hunter Feduccia – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Hunter Feduccia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Shane Bieber – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Shane Bieber’s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 18th percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Kazuma Okamoto has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-110/-120)
  Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 35% ROI)