Get the Injury Report for Royals vs Tigers - Thursday July 23rd, 2026

+195O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-225

Kansas City Royals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+200)
In his previous GS, Randy Dobnak was on point and conceded 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Lane Thomas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Lane Thomas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Michael Massey – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Troy Melton – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
Troy Melton has recorded 18.3 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 95th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Kevin McGonigle – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Kansas City (#1-worst on the slate).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Detroit Tigers with a 24% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+110/-145)
Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics