Live Stream Details for Pirates vs Guardians – Saturday, July 18, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Cleveland Guardians

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Braxton Ashcraft – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braxton Ashcraft to throw 79 pitches today (9th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under Total Bases
  The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O’Hearn can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
  The Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen projects as the 6th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Logan Allen – Over/Under Strikeouts
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today’s game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Gabriel Arias – Over/Under Total Bases
  Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)