Injury Report for Phillies vs Reds - Thursday, July 9th, 2026

-160O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+140

Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-165)
Jesus Luzardo is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #1 HR venue among all stadiums — in this matchup.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 12.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Brady Singer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Brady Singer’s sinker usage has spiked by 6.4% from last year to this one (40.8% to 47.2%) .
Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph EV.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The Cincinnati Reds (26% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+140/-185)
Matt McLain has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)

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