Discover the Game Time for Royals vs Mets – Wednesday July 08, 2026

Kansas City Royals

@

New York Mets

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Stephen Kolek – Over/Under Strikeouts
  The New York Mets have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• The Kansas City Royals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Tolbert, Carter Jensen, Jac Caglianone).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

New York Mets Insights

• Jorge Polanco – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jorge Polanco is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Kansas City (#3-worst of the day).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Mets’ bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)