Get Expert Player Predictions for Twins vs Yankees - July 05, 2026

+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-135

Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
Joe Ryan is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue among all major league parks in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Royce Lewis – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
Royce Lewis has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
The Minnesota Twins have 9 bats in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in this game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Jasson Dominguez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
Jasson Dominguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.3-mph figure last year has dropped to 86.3-mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Placing 4th-steepest in baseball this year, New York Yankees hitters as a unit have recorded a 15.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power).
Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.

New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Josh Bell – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+190/-255)
Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+10.30 Units / 114% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics