See the Weather Forecast for Yankees vs Red Sox – Thursday, June 25th, 2026

New York Yankees

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Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Out of all SPs, Cameron Schlittler’s fastball velocity of 97.1 mph grades out in the 94th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Cody Bellinger has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the New York Yankees with a 23.3% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Connelly Early – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Throwing 91.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Connelly Early checks in at the 75th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Marcelo Mayer has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 79.9-mph in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Boston’s 88-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in Major League Baseball: #28 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130/+100)
  Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)