
Milwaukee Brewers
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Cincinnati Reds
-160O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)+140
(+100/-120)+140
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Brice Turang – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Brady Singer will average a total of 3.2 earned runs in today’s outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)Typically, batters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brandon Woodruff.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The Cincinnati Reds have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Blake Dunn, Tyler Stephenson, Eugenio Suarez, Elly De La Cruz).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line -1.5 (-105)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+290/-410)Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+7.50 Units / 107% ROI)
