
Texas Rangers
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Kansas City Royals
-110O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Texas Rangers Insights
- Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Kumar Rocker has relied on his slider 22.4% more often this year (38.2%) than he did last season (15.8%).Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Jake Burger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)Jake Burger is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in MLB.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (-110)Among every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Jac Caglianone has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.9-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Today, Jac Caglianone is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (95th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+115/-145)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Run Line -1.0 (+120)The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 8 of their last 17 games (+2.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+140/-185)Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
