
St. Louis Cardinals
@

New York Mets
+130O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-150
(-110/-110)-150
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Hunter Dobbins – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)The New York Mets have 6 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)Jordan Walker has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year’s 92.3-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Jimmy Crooks, Nolan Gorman).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
New York Mets Insights
- Christian Scott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Christian Scott wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and compiled 1 Ks.Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- New York Mets – 2H MoneylineThe New York Mets bullpen profiles as the 9th-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alec Burleson – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-120/-110)Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
