Review Betting Odds and Picks for Yankees vs Guardians – Wednesday, June 10, 2026

New York Yankees

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Cleveland Guardians

New York Yankees Insights

• Carlos Rodon – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Carlos Rodon has posted a 12.3% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
  Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Anthony Volpe has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph dropping to 80.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Parker Messick – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
  Parker Messick has recorded 17.3 outs per GS this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• David Fry – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
  David Fry has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .203 figure is quite a bit higher than his .144 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Parker Messick – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Projected catcher Austin Hedges grades out as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+160/-205)
  Travis Bazzana has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)