Seattle Mariners
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Detroit Tigers
-135O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryce Miller – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)Bryce Miller has utilized his four-seam fastball 10.3% more often this year (51.3%) than he did last season (41%).Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Luke Raley – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Luke Raley’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.8-mph over the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Collectively, Seattle Mariners hitters have excelled in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to result the most in home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking 5th-best in the majors.Explain: Balls that are hit too low can’t clear the fences, and balls that are hit too high generally don’t go far enough and are easy pop flies, but balls hit between 23° and 34° are far more likely to become home runs.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)Keider Montero was rolling in his last start and gave up 2 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Zack Short – Over/Under Total BasesZack Short is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#1-worst on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Detroit Tigers batters as a unit rank 8th- in the league for power this year when judging by their 9% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.