
Seattle Mariners
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Detroit Tigers
-125O/U: 9
(+100/-120)+105
(+100/-120)+105
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Dominic Canzone has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 93.3-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Seattle Mariners with a 23.5% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Kevin McGonigle – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#1-worst on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Detroit Tigers batters as a unit rank 8th- in the league for power this year when judging by their 9% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+155/-200)Kevin McGonigle has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
