Review the Latest Player Stats for D-Backs vs Giants – Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

@

San Francisco Giants

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Eduardo Rodriguez has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 8.9% more often this year (53.4%) than he did last year (44.5%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+160)
  Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Arizona’s 88.5-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in the majors: #22 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Tyler Mahle’s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 13th percentile out of all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 15% ROI)