
Minnesota Twins
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Chicago White Sox
-115O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-105
(-110/-110)-105
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Joe Ryan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)Joe Ryan’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (43.6% compared to 37.6% last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Luke Keaschall – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Luke Keaschall has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Minnesota Twins hitters jointly rank near the bottom of the league this year ( 4th-worst) as it relates to their 88-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Sean Burke – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)Sean Burke’s 2548-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 96th percentile out of all starters.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Miguel Vargas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 91.8-mph in the past 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (-105)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.65 Units / 68% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
