Review the Latest Player Stats for D-Backs vs Giants - Tuesday, May 26, 2026

-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110

Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Eduardo Rodriguez has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 8.9% more often this year (53.4%) than he did last year (44.5%).
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+160)
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
The 7.6% Barrel% of the Arizona Diamondbacks grades them out as the #21 squad in MLB this year by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
Tyler Mahle’s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 13th percentile out of all SPs.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Bryce Eldridge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-230)
Bryce Eldridge pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Ketel Marte – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+165/-220)
Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 94% ROI)

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