Find Out the Cardinals vs Reds Score Prediction and Game Analysis – 5/24/26

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Matthew Liberatore’s cut-fastball percentage has dropped by 7% from last year to this one (10.6% to 3.6%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Jordan Walker’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 94.4-mph now compared to just 92.3-mph then.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Pedro Pages, Nolan Gorman).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Brady Singer’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (90.4 mph) below where it was last season (91.6 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• JJ Bleday – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
  JJ Bleday has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .229 mark is quite a bit higher than his .176 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  The Cincinnati Reds bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.