Game Breakdown: Guardians vs Phillies Team Stats and Insights – May 23, 2026

Cleveland Guardians

@

Philadelphia Phillies

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Slade Cecconi has utilized his change-up 6.9% less often this season (0.5%) than he did last year (7.4%).
  Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.3-mph EV last year has decreased to 82.2-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Zack Wheeler’s fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (94.4 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen ranks as the 3rd-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+160)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+180/-235)
  Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)