Dive Into the Simulation and Insights for Rays vs Yankees Match Preview – May 22, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+135)
  Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Taylor Walls – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+300/-440)
  Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph mark last season has fallen off to 81.8-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+210/-285)
  Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Throwing 76.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Gerrit Cole checks in at the 9th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
  When assessing his batting average skill, Aaron Judge is projected as the 6th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-heavy lineup today is the New York Yankees with a 25.7% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+135)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.15 Units / 56% ROI)