Check Out the Top Player Prop Picks for Cardinals vs Athletics - Wednesday, May 13, 2026

+120O/U: 10
(-110/-110)-140

St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Matthew Liberatore will allow an average of 3.31 earned runs today.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
Nolan Gorman is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
St. Louis Cardinals hitters collectively rank among the elite in MLB this year (10th-) as it relates to their 89.1-mph average exit velocity.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
J.T. Ginn has gone to his sinker 18.8% less often this year (30.5%) than he did last year (49.3%).
Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker less often will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Zack Gelof – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.145) suggests that Zack Gelof has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .209 actual batting average.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Nick Kurtz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+120)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Alec Burleson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)

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