Live Updates for Athletics vs Orioles – 5/10/2026

Athletics

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Baltimore Orioles

Athletics Insights

• Luis Severino – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Luis Severino’s four-seamer usage has dropped by 6.8% from last year to this one (27.6% to 20.8%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-265/+195)
  Jacob Wilson has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-110)
  Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Gunnar Henderson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+180/-235)
  In today’s matchup, Coby Mayo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38% rate (94th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.