Discover the Game Time for Athletics vs Orioles – Friday May 08, 2026

Athletics

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Baltimore Orioles

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  Jacob Lopez is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #7 HR venue among all parks in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
  Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped to 83-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  The Athletics bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
  Kyle Bradish has been unlucky this year, notching a 5.03 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.94 — a 1.09 difference.
  Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Typically, batters like Taylor Ward who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jacob Lopez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  In today’s matchup, Coby Mayo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.