Get Expert Player Predictions for Mets vs Rockies – Tuesday May 5, 2026

New York Mets

@

Colorado Rockies

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  In his last GS, Christian Scott struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Jose Quintana – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
  Jose Quintana projects to average 14.1 outs in today’s outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak’s true offensive skill to be a .324, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .128 deviation between that figure and his actual .452 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• The underlying talent of the Colorado Rockies projected batting order today (.302 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal worse than their .318 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 55% ROI)