Score Updates for Rangers vs Yankees - 5/5/26

+110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-130

Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Jacob deGrom has used his slider 8.6% less often this season (29%) than he did last season (37.6%).
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Danny Jansen is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst on the slate today).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
In his last game started, Elmer Rodriguez was rolling and allowed 2 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

New York Yankees – Moneyline (-130)
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+430/-680)
Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+7.40 Units / 123% ROI)

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