Player Prop Bets for Braves vs Mariners - May 4th, 2026

+115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-140

JR Ritchie – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
JR Ritchie was firing on all cylinders in his previous outing and put up 7 strikeouts.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Seattle’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Mike Yastrzemski, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Atlanta Braves bats as a unit grade out 5th- in the league for power this year when judging by their 10.3% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)
Logan Gilbert projects for 16.8 outs in today’s game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Mitch Garver – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-140)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Atlanta Braves – Run Line +1.5 (-175)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+15.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Josh Naylor – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+130/-170)
Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)

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