
Los Angeles Angels
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Kansas City Royals
-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-110)Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Kansas City’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Mike Trout, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- The 9.3% Barrel% of the Los Angeles Angels grades them out as the #8 team in MLB this year by this standard.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Seth Lugo – Over/Under Pitching OutsSeth Lugo has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording 4.7 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Carter Jensen – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)Carter Jensen has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Michael Massey – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130/+100)Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
