
Arizona Diamondbacks
@

Tampa Bay Rays
+135O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-155
(-105/-115)-155
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Jose Cabrera – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jose Cabrera in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-155)Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Richie Palacios – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Richie Palacios has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the seasonExplain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.
