
Miami Marlins
@

San Francisco Giants
+115O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Miami Marlins Insights
- Max Meyer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)Max Meyer’s slider usage has spiked by 5.5% from last year to this one (46.8% to 52.3%) .Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)Otto Lopez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- San Francisco Giants – Moneyline (-135)Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Heliot Ramos has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Landen Roupp – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Liam Hicks – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
