Weather for White Sox vs Athletics Game - 4/18/26

+140O/U: 9
(-115/-105)-160

Erick Fedde – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Erick Fedde’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (76.9% compared to 64.1% last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
Chase Meidroth has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
The Chicago White Sox bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Luis Severino – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Luis Severino’s 95.4-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 81st percentile out of all starters.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Nick Kurtz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season’s 92.7-mph mark.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics – Moneyline (-160)
The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Munetaka Murakami – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
Munetaka Murakami has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.70 Units / 95% ROI)

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