Discover Current Player Trends for Astros vs Mariners - Sunday April 12, 2026

+155O/U: 7.5
(-120/+100)-180

Cody Bolton – Over/Under 12.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Cody Bolton to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Cam Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
Cam Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Jose Altuve – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
Logan Gilbert’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (69.7% vs. 62.3% last season) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Brendan Donovan – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
Brendan Donovan has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph dropping to 75.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-205)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Houston Astros – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Cole Young – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+140/-180)
Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games at home (+9.30 Units / 155% ROI)

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