Read the Boxscore for White Sox vs Marlins - Tuesday March 31st, 2026

+130O/U: 8.5
(+100/-120)-150

Erick Fedde – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Erick Fedde has posted a 7.2% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, placing in the 4th percentile.
Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
Everson Pereira – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Everson Pereira has big-time power (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (33.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk doesn’t generate many whiffs (5th percentile K%) — great news for Pereira.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
Erick Fedde – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Edgar Quero, the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Janson Junk – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-195/+150)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Janson Junk to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 75 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+190/-250)
This year, there has been a decline in Xavier Edwards’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.31 ft/sec last year to 26.86 ft/sec currently.
Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
The 8% Barrel% of the Miami Marlins ranks them as the #23 club in the game since the start of last season by this stat.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Miami Marlins – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 90 games (+19.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Chicago White Sox – Run Line +1.5 (-160)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 82 of their last 139 games (+14.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-110/-120)
Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 49% ROI)

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