Team Stats and Insights for Mariners vs Blue Jays Match Preview - 10/19/2025

+110O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-130

Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan Gilbert to throw 76 pitches in today’s matchup (most of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Explain: Pitchers who throw a lot of pitches are more likely to go deeper into the game, record more outs, and generate more strikeouts.
Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
Trey Yesavage has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed batters in today’s game.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
George Springer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
George Springer has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season’s 93.2-mph mark.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-130)
The weakest projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-130)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 136 games (+21.74 Units / 12% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 82 of their last 147 games (+15.30 Units / 9% ROI)
George Springer – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+170/-225)
George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+8.30 Units / 138% ROI)

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