
Cincinnati Reds
@

Los Angeles Dodgers
+230O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-270
(-115/-105)-270
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Zack Littell – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zack Littell in the 25th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+100/-130)Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Cincinnati Reds – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen grades out as the 5th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)Checking in at the 86th percentile, Yoshinobu Yamamoto recorded a 12.6% Swinging Strike% this year.Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Shohei Ohtani has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 94.8-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-290)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+160/-210)Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+10.50 Units / 150% ROI)
