Player Rankings for Braves vs Tigers – 9/20/25

Atlanta Braves

@

Detroit Tigers

As the Detroit Tigers prepare to face the Atlanta Braves on September 20, 2025, at Comerica Park, both teams are looking to make a statement in this Interleague matchup. The Tigers currently sit at 85-69, showcasing a solid season, while the Braves are struggling with a 71-83 record, marking a disappointing year. In their most recent game, the Tigers secured a victory against the Braves, adding to their momentum heading into this matchup.

On the mound, the Tigers are projected to start Keider Montero, a right-handed pitcher who has had a challenging season. With a 4.32 ERA and a Power Ranking of #282 out of approximately 350 pitchers, Montero’s performance leaves much to be desired. He projects to pitch around 4.7 innings, allowing an average of 2.9 earned runs, which is concerning given the Tigers’ aspirations. However, the projections suggest he might not be as bad as his stats indicate.

Opposing him will be Joey Wentz for the Braves, who, like Montero, has also struggled this season. Wentz, a left-handed pitcher, carries a 5.56 ERA and is projected to pitch a bit longer, averaging 5.0 innings with 3.0 earned runs allowed. While both pitchers are ranked among the lower tiers of MLB, Wentz’s advanced metrics indicate he could benefit from some positive regression.

Offensively, the Tigers rank 12th in MLB, with power numbers looking decent as they sit 10th in home runs. Their best hitter has been on fire recently, hitting .435 with 10 hits over the last week. The Braves, on the other hand, rank 14th offensively, with their top player also performing well, but not at the same level as the Tigers’ standout.

With the Tigers’ bullpen holding a solid #9 ranking in MLB, they may have the edge in late-game scenarios. Given the close moneyline odds, this matchup promises to be tight, but Detroit’s recent form and home-field advantage could tilt the scales in their favor.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Joey Wentz – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  Joey Wentz has recorded 14.2 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 8th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Michael Harris II – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck given the .044 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.
  Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
• It may be wise to expect better results for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Keider Montero – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Keider Montero’s sinker usage has risen by 13.8% from last season to this one (7.7% to 21.5%) .
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Wenceel Perez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Wenceel Perez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen profiles as the 5th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 68 games at home (+16.98 Units / 22% ROI)
• Atlanta Braves – Run Line +1.0 (-140)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 away games (+12.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)