Twins vs White Sox Score Prediction and Game Analysis – 8/24/2025

Minnesota Twins

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins prepare for their matchup on August 24, 2025, this game holds significance for both teams, with the Twins looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to the White Sox by a score of 7-3 in their previous game. Currently, the White Sox sit at 46-83, struggling through a tough season, while the Twins are slightly better at 59-70, but still underperforming.

On the mound, the White Sox are projected to start right-hander Yoendrys Gomez, who has a 5.53 ERA this season. Despite a respectable 3-1 Win/Loss record, Gomez’s 4.96 SIERA suggests he might have been a bit unlucky, indicating potential for better performance ahead. However, his projections for the day are concerning, as he is expected to pitch just 4.7 innings and allow 2.8 earned runs, with a high average of 4.6 hits allowed.

In contrast, the Twins will counter with Taj Bradley, another right-handed pitcher who has posted a more favorable 4.61 ERA and a Win/Loss record of 6-6. Bradley is projected to pitch a bit longer at 5.1 innings and allow 2.5 earned runs. His 3.77 xERA indicates he could outperform his current numbers, making him a key factor in this matchup.

Offensively, the White Sox rank a dismal 28th in the league in batting average and are struggling to generate runs, while the Twins are slightly better at 22nd. However, the projections suggest that the White Sox may have a high implied team total of 4.39 runs, positioning them as a potential surprise in this contest. With both bullpens facing challenges—Chicago ranked 16th and Minnesota 28th—the outcome could hinge on the starting pitchers’ performances and the offenses’ ability to capitalize.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Taj Bradley – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Taj Bradley has relied on his four-seam fastball 5% more often this year (46.7%) than he did last season (41.7%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Austin Martin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Austin Martin has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Minnesota Twins – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Minnesota Twins’ bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Yoendrys Gomez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Yoendrys Gomez’s 2464-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 89th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)
  Chase Meidroth’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Curtis Mead – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Curtis Mead has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-145)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 63 games at home (+19.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)
  Colson Montgomery has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)