Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Blue Jays vs Marlins – Sunday, August 24th, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays

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Miami Marlins

On August 24, 2025, the Miami Marlins will host the Toronto Blue Jays at LoanDepot Park in what promises to be an exciting Interleague matchup. This game is particularly significant as it marks the third in the series between these two teams, with the Marlins looking to bounce back after a narrow 7-6 loss in their last outing. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are riding high after their recent victory, showcasing their strong form.

Currently, the Marlins sit at 60-69, struggling through a below-average season, while the Blue Jays boast a solid 76-54 record, positioning themselves among the top contenders in MLB. The Marlins will send Eury Perez to the mound, who has shown flashes of potential this year, evidenced by his strong 3.48 ERA and a respectable 5-3 win/loss record. However, projections suggest he may face challenges today, as he is expected to allow an above-average 2.3 earned runs and an alarming 4.5 hits.

On the other side, Kevin Gausman will take the ball for the Blue Jays. Despite being rated as an average pitcher, Gausman has had a decent season with an ERA of 3.78. He recently pitched well, allowing only 2 earned runs in 5 innings during his last start. Gausman’s high-flyball tendency could work in his favor against a Marlins lineup that ranks 23rd in home runs this season, struggling to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

The projections for this game indicate a low Game Total of 7.5 runs, reflecting expectations of tight competition. The Marlins have a low implied team total of 3.53 runs, which could be a challenge against a Blue Jays offense that ranks 3rd overall in MLB. As these two teams clash, the Blue Jays will look to maintain their momentum while the Marlins aim to turn their season around.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+150/-195)
  Kevin Gausman has been granted an above-average leash this year, recording 4.8 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average pitcher.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Nathan Lukes – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  In today’s game, Daulton Varsho is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (97th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Eury Perez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Eury Perez’s high utilization rate of his fastball (53.5% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Troy Johnston – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Troy Johnston has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (+110)
  The worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (+110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 69 games (+13.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-130)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 101 games (+20.24 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+155/-200)
  Jakob Marsee has hit the Walks Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)