See the Updated Player Rankings for D-Backs vs Rangers – August 12, 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Texas Rangers

As the Texas Rangers host the Arizona Diamondbacks on August 12, 2025, both teams are having decidedly different seasons. The Rangers sit at 61-59, showing signs of promise, while the Diamondbacks are struggling at 57-62. The stakes in this Interleague matchup are heightened as both teams seek to gain ground in the standings, especially with the Rangers aiming to capitalize on their home-field advantage at Globe Life Field.

In their previous game, the Rangers found some momentum but fell just short, leaving them hungry for a win against a Diamondbacks team that ranks 4th in MLB in offensive talent. However, the Rangers’ offense has underperformed, showcasing a dismal ranking of 28th overall, which could be a challenge against Diamondbacks’ starter Anthony DeSclafani, who, although seen as below average in the projections, has a respectable ERA of 4.20.

Taking the mound for the Rangers is Jack Leiter, who is having a mediocre season with a 7-6 record and an ERA of 4.05. Despite his low Power Rankings position as the 207th best starting pitcher in MLB, he does project to pitch an average of 5.1 innings and allow 2.5 earned runs. However, his high walk rate (12.0 BB%) paired with the Diamondbacks’ patient hitters could spell trouble, especially against a lineup that thrives on drawing walks.

The Game Total is set at 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a competitive contest. With the Rangers favored at -150 and an implied team total of 4.60 runs, they need to leverage their home advantage to overcome their offensive struggles. The matchup between Leiter’s tendency to give up fly balls and the Diamondbacks’ powerful lineup creates an intriguing dynamic that could certainly play to Arizona’s favor.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Anthony DeSclafani – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+110)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony DeSclafani to throw 84 pitches today (9th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Jose Herrera – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+125/-160)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Herrera in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in today’s game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .315, which is considerably worse than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Jack Leiter – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Leiter today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 106 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 58 of their last 103 games (+20.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• Tyler Locklear – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+690/-1400)
  Tyler Locklear has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+10.60 Units / 151% ROI)