Check Out the Player Prop Odds for Yankees vs Rangers – 8/04/25

New York Yankees

@

Texas Rangers

On August 4, 2025, the Texas Rangers will host the New York Yankees at Globe Life Field in the first game of a crucial series. The Rangers enter this matchup with a record of 58-55, while the Yankees hold a 60-52 mark, positioning them as the 2nd best team in the American League. Despite their recent struggles, both teams are looking to bounce back after disappointing losses in their last outings—the Rangers fell 5-4, while the Yankees lost 7-3.

This game features a notable pitching duel between left-handers Patrick Corbin and Max Fried. Corbin, ranked 286th among MLB starters, has struggled this season with a 6-7 record and a respectable ERA of 3.78. However, his projections indicate he may allow an average of 2.7 earned runs today, which is average for him. Fried, on the other hand, is enjoying an elite season, ranking 6th among MLB starters with a stellar 12-4 record and an impressive 2.62 ERA. His projections suggest he could pitch 6.1 innings while allowing just 2.1 earned runs—an excellent outing.

Offensively, the Yankees boast the 1st best lineup in MLB, leading the league in home runs and ranking 9th in batting average. In contrast, the Rangers’ offense struggles, ranking 28th in MLB overall and in batting average. This disparity could play a significant role in the outcome of the game.

With the Rangers listed as underdogs at +130, their implied team total of 3.42 runs is notably low, reflecting their offensive challenges. Meanwhile, the Yankees’ average implied total of 4.08 runs suggests they could capitalize on Corbin’s vulnerabilities. This matchup promises to be a compelling clash as both teams seek to regain momentum.

New York Yankees Insights

• Max Fried – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Max Fried’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2165 rpm) has been a considerable dropoff from than his seasonal rate (2227 rpm).
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.
• Amed Rosario – Over/Under Hits
  Amed Rosario is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees in this game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .324, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .335 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Wyatt Langford has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.2-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+11.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+670/-1400)
  Adolis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+5.90 Units / 118% ROI)