Score Updates for Cubs vs Cardinals - 7/28/26

-110O/U: 9
(+100/-120)-110

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-110)
The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the best among all the teams today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Pedro Ramirez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
Pedro Ramirez is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the weak infield defense of St. Louis (#28-worst of the day).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
The Chicago Cubs bullpen ranks as the 3rd-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Michael McGreevy – Over/Under Pitching Outs
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Michael McGreevy is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate.
Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)
Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Run Line -1.5 (+145)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-145)
Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)

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